I’ve got two bets for this weekend’s Premier League action.
The pregame narrative: Manchester City will win the Premiership if it can hold serve through the final four games. It hosts Wolverhampton on Saturday and I’m expecting a blowout from the home side. On Sunday, Tottenham is a good bet to pick up points against Liverpool.
Manchester City hasn’t lost a Premier League game since December 6.
It is 15-4-0 since then with a +30 goal differential. The Sky Blues are on a tear and there is no reason to think they’ll slow down against Wolverhampton.
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Pep Guardiola’s side has scored four-plus goals in four of its last five games. It has covered a -2.5 spread in three of those contests.
Manchester City is going to fill the net, that’s not up for debate.
But this bet makes a lot more sense than backing City to score over 3.5 goals (-132).
The Wolves have really struggled to score this season. They are 14th in goals (48) and have been shut out in two of its last three games. Taking the under on their 0.5 goal total carries -143 odds.
I can easily see a 3-0 win for Manchester City at home.
Key stat: Manchester City has three straight clean sheets and has only given up two goals in its last five games across all competitions.
Quick pick
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Tottenham to win or tie (+165): Tottenham has lost three straight games but it’s probably deserved better results than that.
The Spurs generated 1.6 expected goals against Chelseas on Thursday, according to FBRef, but were shutout 0-2. The game before that they had 2.3 xG to Arsenal’s 1.0 but lost 2-3.
Something has to give and I expect Agne Postecoglou’s side to pick up at least one point on Sunday.
Liverpool’s season — and Jurgen Klopp’s tenure as manager — is ending with a whimper. The team is out of the running for a trophy and has only one win in its last five EPL fixtures 1-2-2.
Avery Perri Avery joined NorthStar Bets as an intern back in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.
